[aeneas1]

in games rodgers has started, the packers have been favored 76% of the time (124 times out of 164).

- as favorites, rodgers' record is 92-32-0 (.742)
- as dogs, rodgers' record is 14-25-1 (.363)
- as big dogs (+6.0 points or more), rodgers record is 1-4 (.200), and he's winless when the spread has been +6.5 or more.

rodgers is a big dog this week against the rams, the biggest of his career in fact, the spread opened at +10.5 and is now around +9.0 depending on where you look.

the previous biggest spread he's faced in his career was +8.5, twice, both in 2014, both against the seahawks, both on the road - he and the packers lost the two games 16-36, and 22-28 (one was a postseason game). the packers finished that year, 2014, at 12-4.

the gang at 538 (and their elo simulator) have the rams as 9.0 home favorites with a win chance of 79% - only the steelers at home vs the browns, and the chiefs at home vs the broncos are bigger favorites, both in spread and win chance.